What lives the largest spenders use, and why they changed them
Server and network lives cluster at five to six years after a run of extensions between 2021 and 2024. In January 2025 the group split: Amazon shortened a subset of its servers, citing the pace of AI development, while Meta lengthened most of its fleet in the same month. The GPU clouds range from four to six years.
| Company | Server and network life now | Changes on record | Stated reason | Where it stands |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft | Servers and network equipment two to six years; internal-use software three years | Four to six years from FY2023 (detailed in the next section) | Software efficiencies and technology advances | Held through FY2026 |
| Alphabet | Generally six years | 2021: servers three to four years, certain network equipment three to five. January 2023: servers four to six, certain network equipment five to six | Lives are reviewed for technological obsolescence and planned use and utilization | Held |
| Amazon | Five to six years | January 2024: servers five to six. January 2025: a subset six to five | "Increased pace of technology development, particularly in the area of artificial intelligence and machine learning" | Shortened subset in force |
| Meta | Five to 5.5 years | Four to five years before 2025. January 2025: most servers and network assets to 5.5 | Completed assessment of useful lives | In force |
| Oracle | Six years for servers and networking (category range one to six years) | Earlier changes reported only by a secondary compilation (next section) | Not given | Held |
| CoreWeave | Technology equipment six years | January 2023: five to six; 2023 effect was $20 million lower expenses and a $0.10 per-share increase | Hardware performance, software optimization, data center design | Held |
| Nebius | Server and network equipment four years | January 2026 assessment concluded four to five; management "is considering" applying it from January 1, 2026, which it expects to cut 2026 depreciation by about $167.6 million | Updated information and usage patterns | Under consideration, not confirmed as adopted |
| IREN | HPC hardware five years | None disclosed | Not given | In force |
1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17
Every one of these lives covers a whole class of assets. No filing isolates GPUs from CPUs, networking or, in Microsoft's case, software. Amazon's "subset" and Meta's "most" are not sized. The 2022-2024 extensions were set for server fleets that were largely CPU-based. The sharper question is therefore whether companies revisited GPU-heavy server lives as the fleet mix shifted, rather than whether they deliberately extended GPU lives.18,19,20
What the changes did to reported profit
In the year each change took effect, every disclosed extension added roughly 4% to net income. Amazon's 2025 shortening took about 1.3% off.
| Change | Year of effect | Depreciation or operating income effect | Net income effect | Diluted EPS effect | Share of that year's net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft four to six years (software efficiencies, technology advances) | FY2023 | +$3.7B operating income | +$3.0B | +$0.40 | Our calculation: 4.1% of $72,361M |
| Alphabet servers four to six, certain network five to six | 2023 | -$3.9B depreciation | +$3.0B | +$0.24 | About 4.1% (Wiresift compilation) |
| Meta most servers and network to 5.5 years | 2025 | -$2.92B depreciation | +$2.59B | +$1.00 | About 4.3% (Wiresift compilation) |
| Amazon servers five to six | 2024 | Not given | +$2.5B | +$0.23 | About 4.2% (Wiresift compilation) |
| Oracle five to six | FY2025 | -$733M operating expense | +$573M | +$0.20-0.21 | About 4.6% (Wiresift compilation) |
| Amazon subset six to five | 2025 | +$1.4B depreciation and amortization | -$1.0B | -$0.10 | Our calculation: -1.3% of $77,670M |
The effect is visible in reported totals. Microsoft's depreciation fell to $11.0 billion in fiscal 2023 from $12.6 billion a year earlier while the business kept investing, and the company attributed the decline to the life change.30
The disclosed bases are not alike, and the difference matters. Amazon guided to about a $0.7 billion reduction in 2025 operating income, computed only on assets held at the end of 2024. The outturn, which includes equipment bought during 2025, was $1.4 billion of added depreciation, roughly double. The effect also grew through the year: Amazon reported $392 million of extra depreciation in Q3 2025 alone and $889 million over nine months. At the consolidated level, Amazon simultaneously lengthened heavy equipment from ten to thirteen years, worth about $0.9 billion of 2025 operating income, so the two changes roughly cancelled out.31,32,33,34
Commentary often attaches a roughly $920 million Q4 2024 charge to Amazon's server change. By the GPU Depreciation 2026 blog's account, this was accelerated depreciation from retiring some equipment early, separate from the life change.35
Oracle's figures rest only on the Wiresift compilation. Another reading of the filings records no Oracle life change over 2023-2025, so the timing and size of Oracle's moves are not confirmed by its own filings.36
How much reported profit would move under three-, four-, five- and six-year lives
On current balances, each step to a shorter life costs Alphabet and Meta a few percent of operating income. Oracle and CoreWeave are several times more exposed. At four years Oracle loses roughly a quarter to a third of operating income, and CoreWeave's depreciation rises by more than its 2025 net loss.
The method is simple. With straight-line depreciation and no salvage value, annual depreciation is cost divided by life. On $1,000,000 that is $200,000 a year at five years, $181,818.18 at 5.5 and $166,666.67 at six. A two-year charge is exactly three times a six-year charge.37
Our calculation, using that method on each company's latest filed balances, is set out below. The figures are extra annual pre-tax depreciation relative to the current schedule. The calculation assumes the whole base sits at the current life, ignores fully depreciated assets and salvage value, and holds the base flat.
| Company | Base used | Current life | 5 years | 4 years | 3 years | Share of operating income (5 / 4 / 3 years) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meta | Servers and network depreciation of $9.01B in H1 2026, annualised to about $18.0B | 5.5 years (six years would cut about $1.5B) | +$1.8B | +$6.8B | +$15.0B | About 2% / 8% / 18% of 2025 income from operations of $83.28B |
| Oracle | Computer, network, machinery and equipment of $77,755M gross at August 31, 2026; about $13.0B a year | Six years | +$2.6B | +$6.5B | +$13.0B | About 13% / 31% / 63% of FY2026 operating income of $20,606M; about 10% / 24% / 48% of Q1 FY27 operating income ($6,728M) annualised |
| Alphabet | About 60% of $247,177M in-service technical infrastructure, so about $148B; about $24.7B a year | Generally six years | +$4.9B | +$12.4B | +$24.7B | About 4% / 10% / 19% of 2025 operating income of $129,039M |
| Amazon (upper bound) | Servers and networking equipment of $172,492M gross at December 31, 2025, all treated as six-year | Five to six years | +$5.8B | +$14.4B | +$28.8B | At most about 7% / 18% / 36% of 2025 operating income of $79,975M |
| CoreWeave | Technology equipment of $20,903M gross at December 31, 2025; about $3.5B a year | Six years | +$0.7B | +$1.7B | +$3.5B | Against 2025 depreciation of $2.4B and a net loss of $1,167M |
38,39,40,41,42,43,44,45,46,47,48,49
Three caveats apply to the table. Amazon's balance includes fully depreciated assets and equipment already on five years, so its row overstates the exposure. Alphabet also had $122.8 billion of assets not yet in service at June 30, 2026, which sits outside the base. Net income would move by less than these pre-tax amounts after tax.
In per-share terms for Meta, our calculation applies the ratio Meta disclosed for its 2025 change: $1.00 of diluted EPS per $2.92 billion of depreciation, or about $0.34 per $1 billion. On that ratio, a four-year life would cost about $2.3 and a three-year life about $5.1 of diluted EPS, against 2025 diluted EPS of $23.49. That is roughly 10% and 22%.50
CoreWeave's base has grown since year-end. Its depreciation and amortization was about $1.3 billion in Q2 2026, against $537 million a year earlier. On our calculation, annualising that quarter (about $5.2 billion) and moving it from six to four years would add roughly $2.6 billion a year.51
The same lever works in reverse for a lessor on a short life. Nebius's proposed move from four to five years would cut 2026 depreciation by the $167.6 million shown above. That is about 27% of its 2025 loss from operations of $611.7 million (our calculation).52
Microsoft cannot be isolated this way. Its $215,874 million gross line combines servers, depreciated over two to six years, with software depreciated over three, so dividing it by any single life gives a false figure. The generic rate still applies: on our calculation, every $100 billion of six-year assets moved to five years adds about $3.3 billion of annual depreciation, and moved to three years about $16.7 billion.53
Industry-wide forward models reach larger totals because they also re-depreciate future capex:
| Scenario | Life assumed | Estimated effect | Whose estimate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harsh bear case | Three years for AI hardware | $280-320B cumulative, 2026-2028 | Footnote Brief model (Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, Oracle) |
| Pre-extension policy | Four years | About $200B cumulative, 2026-2028 | Footnote Brief model, assuming about 60% of capex is affected |
| Burry's published figure | Three years in place of five to six, applied to projected GPU capex | $176B cumulative, 2026-2028, about $50-60B a year | Michael Burry, as reconstructed in the GPU Depreciation 2026 blog |
| Amazon-aligned | Five years across the board | $80-100B cumulative, 2026-2028 | Footnote Brief model |
| One-year cohort | Six versus four years | The $433.9B trailing-four-quarter capex cohort adds about $65-75B a year at six years, or $95-110B at four | Silicon Analysts estimate |
Why the disclosed one-year effects understate the exposure
Each company's disclosed effect is computed on its asset base at the start of the year of change. Capex, meanwhile, is running three to seven times depreciation, so the same life assumption is worth more every year.
| Company | Latest full-year capex | Depreciation | Capex to depreciation (our calculation) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alphabet (2025) | $91.4B | $21.1B | About 4.3x |
| Amazon (2025) | $128.3B cash capex | $41.9B depreciation and amortization | About 3.1x |
| Microsoft (FY2026) | $115,948M additions to property and equipment | $34.3B | About 3.4x |
| Oracle (FY2026) | $55.7B | $7.6B | About 7.3x |
Source: Microsoft Corporation Form 10-K, fiscal year ended June 30, 2026 (2026-06-30)
Meta bought $69.69 billion of property and equipment in 2025, mostly servers, data centers and network infrastructure.66
Depreciation is already accelerating as the build-out comes into service. On our calculations from the 2026 filings:
- Meta's servers and network depreciation, shown above, rose 57% year on year in H1 2026.
- Alphabet's depreciation rose to $13.6 billion from $9.5 billion in H1 2026, up 43%.
- AWS depreciation and amortization rose to $15,353 million from $9,234 million in H1 2026, up 66%.
- Oracle's quarterly depreciation reached $3.2 billion against $1.4 billion, up 129%. Annualised, that is about $12.8 billion, close to the six-year cost-over-life estimate used above.
Large balances are not yet depreciating at all. At the latest balance sheet dates, construction in progress was $48,546 million at Oracle, $71,745 million at Amazon and $50,521 million at Meta, alongside Alphabet's $122.8 billion of assets not yet in service.70,71,72
Silicon Analysts puts this in aggregate terms. The four US hyperscalers bought $433.9 billion of property and equipment in the four quarters through March 2026, against roughly $149 billion of reported depreciation. In its words, "reported margins look better than the underlying economics until the wave catches up." Under GAAP, construction in progress is not depreciated until placed in service, so today's charge reflects past investment cycles. The Business Times made the same point about Meta in 2025: with capex rising as much as 75%, the life change's effect "will be even bigger in 2026."73,74,75,76
What the product cycle says about real economic life
Accelerator generations now arrive annually, with gains large enough that a chip's life as a frontier asset is plausibly two to four years. The companies' own executives point to the faster pace.
| Generation | Status at the latest report | What it implies for installed fleets |
|---|---|---|
| Nvidia Blackwell (B200, B300, GB200, GB300) | Current volume generation | Hopper is now the mature, widely rented tier |
| Nvidia Vera Rubin | Nvidia says full production and ramping (August 26, 2026); racks running at CoreWeave, Google Cloud, Microsoft Azure, Oracle Cloud Infrastructure and Nebius; shipping to hyperscalers since July 2026, per GPU Insights | Blackwell becomes the prior generation within about a year of volume |
| Nvidia Rubin Ultra and Feynman | Planned for H2 2027 and 2028 | Annual cadence, first announced in 2024 and reaffirmed through Computex 2026 |
| AMD | Annual CPU, GPU and rack-scale cadence planned through 2030 | Competing roadmaps on the same rhythm |
| Google TPU | Trillium (sixth generation) generally available December 16, 2024; TPU7x Ironwood (seventh) generally available March 31, 2026 | In-house silicon also turning over in about 15 months |
The gains per generation are large. In the industry's MLPerf benchmark, the best per-accelerator DeepSeek-R1 server result improved 5.7x in one year, and the best Visual Language Model result rose 2.99x in six months. Spheron's reading of the v6.0 results puts B200 at roughly 2.5x H200 per GPU on GPT-OSS 120B. Nvidia's own claims, not independently verified, go further:
- GB300 NVL72 delivers up to 10x lower cost per million tokens than H200.
- Vera Rubin NVL72 delivers one-tenth the cost per million tokens of GB200 NVL72.
- Vera Rubin shows a "10x generational uplift" on an internal agentic inference workload.
The executives deploying the hardware describe the same pressure:
One of the biggest learnings we had even with Nvidia is that their pace increased in terms of their migrations. That was a big factor. I didn't want to go get stuck with four or five years of depreciation on one generation.
Satya Nadella, Microsoft CEO, November 2025
When Blackwell starts shipping in volume, you couldn't give Hoppers away.
Jensen Huang, Nvidia CEO, March 2025
Oracle's FY2026 10-K adds that accepting less favourable supplier terms to secure AI accelerators "has increased excess and obsolescence risk of such hardware products."92
What rental, resale and redeployment data say
In 2026 the market is pricing old GPUs as valuable, not obsolete. H100 contract rates rose, A100s still rent, and earlier cloud GPUs served seven or more years. These readings reflect a supply shortage, and providers' own multi-year discounts imply they expect prices to fall.
SemiAnalysis tracks contract pricing through a monthly survey of more than 100 market participants, cross-checked against transactions. On that survey, H100 one-year rental contracts rose almost 40%, from a low of $1.70 per GPU-hour in October 2025 to $2.35 by March 2026. On-demand capacity is "sold out across all GPU types." H100s are being renewed at the same rates signed two to three years earlier, some for four years through 2028. Before late 2025 the prevailing expectation had been the opposite: that Hopper prices would drop sharply as Blackwell ramped.93,94,95,96,97
The H100 price path has been a fall followed by a rebound:
- From roughly $7-10 an hour at launch in 2023 to about $2-4 by late 2025, according to Hashrate Index, which also reports a roughly 44% AWS H100 price cut in June 2025.
- A median of about $3.38 an hour by August 2026, down from more than $7 in early 2024, per AIMultiple's cohort.
- Down from a shortage peak of $8-9 an hour in 2023, per ComputingPower.org.
Through 2026, however, H100 pricing rose even as H200 and Blackwell became available. As of October 12, 2026, the median H100 on-demand price across 38 providers was about $3.50 an hour. That level has been flat for 90 days and is about 13% above a year earlier. Silicon Data's standardised index read $2.83 per GPU-hour on October 11, 2026. SemiAnalysis's composite stood at $2.82 in April 2026.101,102,103,104,105
Source: Silicon Data H100 Rental Price Index - SDH100RT (2026-10-11)
The A100, announced in 2020, still indexes at $1.53 per GPU-hour, about 54% of the H100 level.106
At these prices, even a short life recovers the hardware cost. Silicon Analysts models an H100 server at a $28,000 street price, a 1.4x server overhead, 70% utilisation and a 30% residual value. On those assumptions, its estimated hardware cost per utilised hour is:
| Assumed life | Estimated hardware cost per utilised hour | Against current H100 rents of about $2.8-4.0 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 years | $1.49 | Recovered |
| 4 years | $1.12; about $1.36 with an H100-specific 15% residual at year four | Recovered |
| 5 years | $0.90 | Recovered |
Two further adjustments in the same model matter. Applying an 8% cost of capital raises the four-year figure about 34%, to about $1.50. At Lambda's $3.99 on-demand price, the model attributes 64% of the price to scarcity rent rather than cost recovery. The comparison with current rents is our calculation.
The longevity record supports long service lives:
- Azure retired V100-based virtual machines in September 2025, about 7.5 years after the V100 launched. It retired K80, P100 and P40 virtual machines after 7-9 years.
- The T4, released in 2018, still rents for about $0.15 an hour on Vast.ai.
These examples are compiled by Hashrate Index. CoreWeave's CEO says its A100s are fully booked and that H100s freed by an expired contract were rebooked at 95% of the original price. CoreWeave's prospectus describes moving older chips to inference and lower-intensity training after contracts expire. That "value cascade" runs, in the GPU Depreciation 2026 blog's model, from frontier training in years one and two to batch inference in years five and six. Hashrate Index concludes that market and deployment data point to 5-7+ years of economic life. It also notes that Meta's Llama 3 training implies roughly a 9% annualised H100 failure rate under heavy use.112,113,114,115,116
Resale values fall faster than a six-year straight line implies, but estimates vary widely:
- The GPU Depreciation 2026 blog puts an H100 at about 69% of contemporaneous new pricing by year three. Its age bands are about $18,000-$25,000 under one year, $12,000-$18,000 at one to two years, and $7,000-$12,000 past two years.
- Other reporting has H100 units trading at less than half the price of new ones by year three.
- A used eight-GPU H100 server trades at roughly $150,000-$180,000, against about $500,000 for a new B300 server.
The strongest counter-signal comes from providers themselves. Silicon Analysts reports 45-55% discounts for three-year commitments and CoreWeave offering up to 60% off for terms. It reads this as providers expecting Hopper-class scarcity rent "to largely evaporate inside the commitment window."120
Why the GPU lessors are the most exposed
For CoreWeave-type operators, the life estimate decides whether they report a loss or a profit and sizes their borrowing capacity. Their contracts now run close to the book life, while some of their financing runs shorter.
The scale of the lever is clearest at CoreWeave. By Mike Thrift's account, its 2025 revenue of $5.13 billion produced roughly $3.1 billion of adjusted EBITDA, a measure of operating cash profit before depreciation, interest and tax. It still reported a net loss after about $2.45 billion of depreciation and roughly $1.2 billion of interest. Its loan capacity is set as a percentage of the depreciable cost of GPU servers. Wccftech notes that a longer life keeps a higher book value on the GPUs it pledges as collateral.121,122,123,124
| Operator | Book life | Contract or financing terms | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|
| CoreWeave | Six years | Weighted-average committed contract about four years (December 2024) and about five years (December 2025); terms typically two to five years | Contracts are shorter than book life, so returns depend on re-contracting older chips |
| IREN | Five years for GPU hardware ($1,487.1M pledged as collateral) | GPU leases of 36 and 24 months; borrowings maturing 30 months after funding | Financing runs well short of the depreciation life |
| Nebius | Four years, five under consideration | Five-year, $12B Meta agreement on Vera Rubin capacity from early 2027 | Contract term matches the proposed life |
CoreWeave argues that the economic life of its infrastructure exceeds typical contract length, which creates room to re-contract. It reported an expected average cash payback of about 2.5 years on contracts in effect at December 31, 2024, measured through adjusted EBITDA.132,133
Both CoreWeave and IREN flag the obsolescence side of the risk. CoreWeave says customers may not adopt newer offerings, including the Rubin platform it expects to deploy in the second half of 2026. IREN says the economic useful life and residual value of its equipment "may be shorter or lower than we anticipate" as demand concentrates on the newest GPUs.136,137
Accounting guardrails and the analyst debate
GAAP treats a change in useful life as a change in estimate. It is applied prospectively, disclosed, and tested by auditors for reasonableness and bias. Critics such as Burry argue the true life is two to three years, while defenders cite redeployment of older chips to inference. The filings settle neither side.
The rules work as follows:
- A change in estimate is accounted for in the current and future periods, never by restating prior years.
- For a change in service lives, the effect on income and per-share amounts must be disclosed.
- The line between a new estimate and an error is timing. Failing to update assumptions as new information arrives, or ignoring information already available, is an error. An unsupported long life corrected later restates prior periods.
- Useful life rests on how the entity intends to use the asset and can differ from its economic or physical life.
- Straight-line depreciation is convention rather than a GAAP mandate, so accelerated methods are allowed where they better match consumption.
- Impairment, a write-down of an asset's carrying value, is tested only when undiscounted future cash flows fall below carrying value. CoreWeave recorded no material impairments in 2023-2025.
138,139,140,141,142,143,144,145
Auditors face a high bar on paper. PCAOB standard AS 2501 requires them to test the company's process, build an independent expectation, or use later evidence. Assumptions that are sensitive to variation or susceptible to bias count as significant, and auditors must evaluate bias arising from the cumulative effect of changes in estimates. Dustin Madsen of the Society of Depreciation Professionals expects auditors to examine companies' engineering data "at a very detailed level."146,147,148,149
The critics' case centres on Michael Burry. He pegs the real life of server equipment at about two to three years and named Meta, Oracle, Microsoft, Google and Amazon. He estimates $176 billion of understated depreciation over 2026-2028, with Oracle's earnings overstated by 26.9% and Meta's by 20.8% by 2028. These are forward counterfactuals on future capex at short lives. They line up with the three-to-four-year rows of the sensitivity above, not with the roughly 4% year-of-change disclosures. Wiresift notes that no filing breaks out a GPU asset class against which to check them.150,151,152,153
The defenders' case rests on the value cascade. Yardeni argues that older GPUs move to high-volume inference and that software and operational gains extend hardware life, and it sides with the hyperscalers against Burry. Nvidia says customers use four-to-six-year lives based on observed utilization and longevity, and it disputed Burry in a memo to analysts.154,155,156,157
Middle positions are converging on conditional answers:
- The GPU Depreciation 2026 blog says two to three years is fair for a frontier training chip and five to six years defensible for a revenue-generating asset across all workloads. Its critique is that blending the two into one estimate "can flatter the average."
- Edgewisely reports analysts expecting convergence toward about five years.
- Footnote Brief notes the cascade was proven for the pre-AI fleet but not yet for AI fleets, where each generation is far more capable per dollar.
- Deep Quarry expects six-year companies to follow Amazon toward shorter GPU lives, while stressing that evolving estimates are not errors.
- Jordan Kwan observes that Amazon moved its number in the direction that hurt its own earnings, and that nobody yet has six years of operating history on this generation of accelerators.
What the sources gathered do not establish
- The useful life each company assigns specifically to GPUs and accelerators, as distinct from CPUs, networking and software.
- The size of Amazon's shortened "subset" and the share of Meta's fleet covered by "most."
- The primary-filing effects of Oracle's reported four-to-five and five-to-six-year changes on depreciation, operating income, net income and EPS, and when those changes were made.
- Microsoft's actual mix of lives within its two-to-six-year range, and its profit under alternative lives.
- The residual or salvage values the companies assume.
- Whether Nebius adopted the four-to-five-year change from January 1, 2026.
- A side-by-side comparison of lives, residuals, depreciation as a share of revenue and capex, and lease structures across the companies.
- Whether 2026 H100 and A100 rental strength persists as Rubin and GB300 capacity ramps, and what Blackwell-generation hardware fetches on the secondary market at transaction level.
- Whether the hyperscalers' auditors have treated useful lives as a critical audit matter.
- What Jim Chanos argued about Meta's depreciation.